The targeting intelligence isn’t there. Guided bombs find markets, not camps.
Warner 26 — Lesley Anne Warner. April 22. Africa security analyst and columnist covering African security affairs for World Politics Review. World Politics Review, “Nigeria’s Airpower-Centric Counterinsurgency Is Costing Civilian Lives,” https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/nigeria-boko-haram-iswap-jilli-civilian-casualties/ Clopus the free portion of a paywalled article---the cut ends where the paywall does
On the evening of April 11, Nigerian military airstrikes hit a market in the northeastern village of Jilli, located near the epicenter of the country’s two-decadelong jihadist insurgency, killing as many as 200 civilians. While defending the choice of target as a terrorist enclave and logistics hub, the Nigerian Air Force subsequently announced it was dispatching a fact-finding mission to assess the extent of possible civilian casualties.
The Jilli market bombing is the latest in a series of government airstrikes over the past decade that have killed civilians, underscoring the Nigerian military’s continued challenges with intelligence , target identification and air-ground integration. Between 2017 and 2024, more than 500 civilians were killed in such attacks, both in the northeast against the two jihadist insurgencies operating there—Boko Haram and the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP)—as well as in the northwest against armed criminal groups that the government generally refers to as “bandits.” In January 2017, an airstrike hit a camp for internally displaced persons in Rann . Another strike in December 2023 struck a religious gathering in Kaduna .
Recognizing that civilian deaths boost extremist recruitment, the Nigerian Air Force unveiled a Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response (CHMR) action plan in May 2025 and inaugurated a dedicated CHMR Board two months later in July. The Jilli airstrike makes it clear that a gap remains between this emphasis on civilian harm mitigation and operational practice.